Conviction means possessing a firm, unwavering content successful something. In phantasy football, it is sometimes counterproductive to person a instrumentality truthful firmly held due to the fact that of the ever-changing scenery of phantasy shot and the real-life NFL arsenic a whole. That is what makes this crippled truthful overmuch fun: having an evolving sandbox of 17 (or 18 if you play successful Week 18) antithetic weeks successful which to play this crippled wrong a crippled that we love.
Through the years, I person been fortunate successful my vocation to nail immoderate of my convictions connected players similar Robert Woods, Tee Higgins and Christian Watson. Of course, determination person besides been duds similar Laviska Shenault Jr., Elijah Moore and Chase Claypool. While I emotion wide receivers, choky ends are starting to substance overmuch much successful fantasy, arsenic the extent astatine the presumption for phantasy shot increases by the season.
Advertisement
Gone are the days of conscionable Travis Kelce and George Kittle astatine the apical of the choky extremity rankings and bully luck to everybody other scraping by astatine the position. Those days are successful the particulate arsenic we person a youthful infusion of elite choky extremity accumulation that has been tearing up the NFL with Brock Bowers and Trey McBride starring the charge, positive Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren acceptable to interruption into that elite tier. A sanction that is not talked astir enough: Harold Fannin Jr.
Recapping Fannin's 2025 Rookie Season
Fannin's Rookie Stats
Fannin's 2025 started connected a precocious note, with a team-leading 9 targets against the Cincinnati Bengals. Even much importantly, helium ran a way connected astir 65% of drop-backs successful his debut. That was alongside David Njoku (85% routes), truthful it showed wide intent for the Browns to get a talented subordinate similar Fannin connected the tract immediately.
Advertisement
Typically, with rookies, we spot a dilatory pain of getting them connected the tract successful circumstantial situations and past ramping up their on-field engagement until they are full-time starters. That was not the lawsuit with Fannin, arsenic helium ran rather a fewer routes erstwhile Njoku was healthy. When Njoku missed clip successful Week 7, Fannin saw routes astatine an 87% clip. He besides enjoyed a agelong from (Week 12 done Week 16) wherever helium ne'er dipped beneath 80% earlier succumbing to a groin wounded successful Week 17 that ended his season.
As the particulate settled connected 2025 and aft completing immoderate full-season accounting, Fannin finished arsenic phantasy TE6 successful wide phantasy points. A stat enactment of 72 receptions, 731 yards and six touchdowns volition surely bash that; each good numbers for immoderate choky end, overmuch little a rookie connected a putrid Cleveland Browns squad that was held backmost by their quarterbacking for astir of the season.
The information that Fannin earned dense measurement arsenic a 2nd choky extremity for overmuch of the play truly speaks to his endowment successful presumption of catching the shot and earning targets. Fannin delivered his rookie play accumulation aft posting a 117-catch, 1,555-yard inferior play astatine Bowling Green successful 2024 earlier declaring for the NFL Draft, aft all.
Fannin's 2025 play enactment him successful immoderate uncommon aerial among choky ends, arsenic helium led each NFL choky ends successful targets per way tally (TPRR) past season, drafting a people connected 1 of astir each 4 routes helium ran (23.9%). Among 818 idiosyncratic choky extremity seasons since 2006 wherever a choky extremity ran astatine slightest 200 routes, Fannin's TPRR was successful the 93rd percentile. He trailed lone Trey McBride successful first-read people complaint arsenic well, truthful plays were being drawn up with him successful caput arsenic the archetypal people successful the offense.
Advertisement
To execute that good with the backmost helium received is honestly incredible. Shedeur Sanders and Dillon Gabriel were the second- and third-worst quarterbacks successful the NFL past play successful adjusted EPA per play retired of 45 qualifying quarterbacks with astatine slightest 150 snaps.
Cleveland QB Plot
What tin Fannin bash successful 2026?
To enactment with the quarterbacks, expecting backmost betterment successful 2026, adjacent if it comes in-house successful the signifier of *gulp* Deshaun Watson, is simply a pugnacious sell. The barroom is INCREDIBLY debased present for immoderate operation of Watson, Sanders, Gabriel, rookie Taylen Green oregon whoever other starts shot games for Cleveland. Not being a bottom-three worst backmost successful the league represents astatine slightest SOME benignant of upgrade.
Advertisement
The information that Fannin was capable to person the play helium had with that putrid level of backmost represents a borderline miracle, but what astir the surroundings Fannin finds himself successful in 2026?
Jerry Jeudy and Cedric Tillman entered the summertime arsenic the apical wide receivers for Cleveland (at slightest successful theory), but for however long? The Browns drafted Texas A&M receiver KC Concepcion successful the archetypal circular and Washington's Denzel Boston successful the 2nd round. Clearly, they are not blessed with the accumulation they received from their seasoned wideouts. Jeudy lone caught 53-of 103 targets past play with conscionable a 17.4% TPRR and a yards per way tally (YPRR) hardly supra 1.00, which is good beneath mean for a wide receiver.
Also incredibly important: David Njoku is gone, arsenic helium signed with the Los Angeles Chargers. Fannin volition person the choky extremity country to himself, which should beryllium a boon for his counting stats and if helium tin support his ratio arsenic a rookie intact, we volition beryllium looking astatine a choky extremity that we volition person to draught successful the archetypal fewer rounds of phantasy shot drafts successful 2027.
Looking astatine the existent constitution of the roster, Concepcion siphoning targets is the main interest for a subordinate similar Fannin. Concepcion was chiefly a slot subordinate successful his archetypal 2 seasons astatine NC State - with 93% and 82% of his snaps successful that alignment. He recovered himself much connected the extracurricular successful 2025 astatine Texas A&M, lining up wide connected 65% of snaps. Concepcion could find himself successful the slot again to commencement his pro career. He has been an fantabulous people earner with 95, 88, and 101 targets earned successful 3 seasons, bully for a 26.6% TPRR successful his assemblage career.
Advertisement
Fellow rookie Denzel Boston is much of your emblematic "X" receiver, with a 6-foot-4, 209-pound frame. Boston's 2 seasons arsenic a Washington starter produced 60-807-9 and 56-755-10, showing red-zone and downfield prowess. He feels much similar a subordinate who could get worked successful much dilatory down Tillman than arsenic a Day 1 starter for the Browns, but we inactive person grooming campy and preseason to benignant that out, truthful things could change!
Thus, this is what we are looking astatine for Fannin successful 2026:
The choky extremity country is present much consolidated, truthful helium tin tally 85%+ routes each week;
Target contention with Jeudy remains, but different rookie receivers are pushing things from a target-earning perspective, depending connected erstwhile they gain clip connected the field;
The backmost issues from 2025 persist successful 2026, but are nary worse than past play (and they could really beryllium a spot amended if Watson performs astatine adjacent a mildly competent level).
All of those factors truly springiness Fannin the runway to physique connected his rookie play and the accidental to present a existent breakout season. Fantasy managers person a close to beryllium a small disquieted astir the Browns' quality to score, arsenic they are expected to beryllium surely successful the bottommost fractional of the NFL successful points and touchdowns. With that said, adjacent the worst NFL teams inactive person to people touchdowns, and determination volition beryllium a coagulated accidental for Fannin to astatine slightest lucifer his six receiving scores from past play and besides to supply meaningful improvements successful targets, receptions and yards aft the catch, wherever Fannin was seventh successful the NFL among choky ends past season.
That confluence of factors should (and apt will) propel Fannin to nutrient good supra his TE6 mean draught presumption and marque him a imaginable league victor successful 2026. There are a ton of variables with the Browns, but if the rookie receivers aren't acceptable and Jeudy is his inefficient aforesaid arsenic he's shown successful caller seasons, wherefore can't this Browns discourtesy tally everything done Fannin this season?
Advertisement
We started by talking astir conviction, and determination are plentifulness of questions with each choky extremity supra Fannin successful ADP. The quality is that Fannin comes astatine a precise tenable terms successful drafts. When combined with his lofty upside positive his trajectory for a second-year breakout, it is simply a operation that makes him idiosyncratic to people successful phantasy drafts. For me, phantasy shot condemnation has Fannin's representation adjacent to it.
This nonfiction primitively appeared connected The Huddle: The Case For Harold Fannin Jr. In 2026



English (US) ·